Look beyond the headlines.
Watch price moves, volatility and liquidity. Other news and economic data can also drive markets.
US MIDTERMS 2026 · POST-ELECTION OUTLOOK
America Has Voted.
What’s Next for Markets?
Track the reaction. Watch what’s next.
CFDs are complex instruments and carry a high risk of loss.US INDICESUSD / FXGOLDOILBITCOIN
01 / FROM RESULTS TO MARKETS
Your post-election watchlist.
Choose a market. See why it matters and what to watch next.
US indicesEarnings meet policy
Why it matters now
Tax and spending proposals can change earnings expectations. Watch the details, alongside company results and interest rates.
Signals to watch
- Tax and budget proposals
- Company earnings
- Treasury yields
USD / FXRates still matter
Why it matters now
The election does not set interest rates. Inflation, employment and the Fed can reshape the dollar outlook as policy plans evolve.
Signals to watch
- US inflation and jobs
- Fed decisions
- US versus overseas yields
GoldUncertainty versus yields
Why it matters now
Political uncertainty is only part of the picture. Compare it with real yields and the dollar when following gold.
Signals to watch
- Real Treasury yields
- US dollar moves
- Demand for defensive assets
OilPolicy meets physical supply
Why it matters now
Energy-policy headlines need context. Global production, inventories and demand can outweigh the US political story.
Signals to watch
- OPEC+ supply decisions
- US crude inventories
- Global demand signals
BitcoinRules and risk appetite
Why it matters now
Watch concrete regulatory developments rather than assuming a party win sets Bitcoin’s direction. Liquidity and crypto-specific events still matter.
Signals to watch
- Regulatory announcements
- Trading liquidity
- Crypto-specific developments
A watchlist, not a price forecast. Policy proposals can change; other events also move markets.
02 / AFTER THE VOTE
The next chapter for markets.
The first reaction may not be the last.
Follow the negotiations.
Monitor proposals on taxes, spending and regulation. Proposals are not enacted policy.
Keep the wider picture in view.
Track economic releases, central-bank decisions and earnings alongside political developments.
03 / HISTORICAL CONTEXT
How markets moved after past midterms.
Compare five markets across 2014, 2018 and 2022.
| Market | Before≈ 1 month | Election windowEve → next day | After≈ 1 month |
|---|---|---|---|
| US indicesNasdaq Composite | −0.82% | −2.00% | +6.29% |
| USD / FXEUR/USD | +2.17% | +0.40% | +5.11% |
| GoldGold futures · GC=F | −1.41% | +2.00% | +5.15% |
| OilBrent spot | +1.00% | −6.83% | −17.93% |
| BitcoinBTC/USD | +5.27% | −23.04% | +8.18% |
2022 also included major crypto market turmoil. These moves cannot be attributed to the election alone.
Markets responded differently across these periods. Election results were only one of several influences.
Past performance does not predict future results. Reference prices shown; these are not Pepperstone CFD returns.
What’s your view?
Explore the factors behind each market’s response.
Calculation & limitations
Percentage change = (ending price ÷ starting price − 1) × 100. Windows: 2014 Oct 3–Nov 3, Nov 3–5, Nov 5–Dec 5; 2018 Oct 5–Nov 5, Nov 5–7, Nov 7–Dec 7; 2022 Oct 7–Nov 7, Nov 7–9, Nov 9–Dec 9.
Observation times vary by market. Figures exclude spreads, financing and other CFD costs. Other events affected these periods; three elections do not establish a reliable pattern for 2026.
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